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Trump's Own Coalition Turns on Him as Democrats Sweep U.S. Midterms

Trump's Own Coalition Turns on Him as Democrats Sweep U.S. Midterms

Yulia

Yulia

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Democrats won control of both the House and Senate in this week's U.S. midterm elections, a result widely read not as a triumph for the party but as a rebuke of President Donald Trump. According to 연합뉴스, Trump himself acknowledged the scale of the defeat, and Republican figures and analysts are pointing to a single cause: the president's own political approach.

The party's House candidates finished 13 percentage points behind the Democrats in the national vote, the widest gap between the two parties in a federal congressional election since 1976, according to a New York Times analysis cited by 연합뉴스.

Why it matters

The outcome strips Trump of a compliant Congress at a moment when his agenda — tariffs, a reshaped alliance system, and a war with Iran — has fed into rising fuel costs. It also raises questions about the durability of the coalition that returned him to office. According to 연합뉴스, the Wall Street Journal observed that few American presidents have shed so much political support so quickly.

The result has revived talk of impeachment. 조선일보 reported that a dozen Republican votes could now be in play, noting a similar number of defections occurred five months ago.

A coalition that boomeranged

Trump spent the campaign asking voters to treat the election as a verdict on him personally. According to the New York Times, he repeated a plea to "imagine my name on the ballot" 47 times. Voters did — just not in the way he wanted.

The base that powered his return, the MAGA movement, has instead become a liability. Republican pollster Greg Streampl told the Wall Street Journal that warning signs appeared early this year, when two U.S. citizens were shot dead by immigration enforcement agents in Minnesota. He said the episode showed Trump had gone too far on some policy fronts. Tough immigration enforcement and attacks on diversity and inclusion initiatives energize the MAGA base, but the Minnesota shootings cast that agenda in a far darker light, according to 연합뉴스.

The president's tariff policy and his reworking of alliances — priorities of the MAGA movement rather than of the traditional Republican Party — culminated in the Iran war and in gasoline prices that Republican voters would not tolerate, 연합뉴스 reported.

Exit polling by SSRS of 75,000 midterm voters found that more than a quarter of those who backed Republican House candidates said Trump's tariffs had hurt the economy, and roughly a quarter said his overall policies had made it worse.

A party that could not push back

Republicans in Congress proved unable to restrain the president, a consequence of a party made subordinate to him through the loyalty of MAGA activists and major donors, according to 연합뉴스. Candidates hesitated to distance themselves even as defeat loomed. CNN, as cited in the report, described a mix of motives: some saw no point in abandoning Trump after years of defending him, some feared losing core MAGA voters, and some judged it safer to appeal to his enthusiasts than to provoke his anger.

Former Republican National Committee member Tom Rath argued that Trump's redefinition of the party shrank it by expelling those who were not loyal to him. That contraction proved costly in competitive races where Democratic candidates turned out more cohesively. SSRS exit data showed 99 percent of Texas Democrats backed James Talarico while only 88 percent of Republicans backed Ken Paxton; in Ohio, 97 percent of Democrats supported Sherrod Brown against 90 percent of Republicans backing Senator Jon Husted.

Even Vice President JD Vance conceded the problem on X, saying that while turnout had been strong, many people who voted for Trump and Vance in 2024 backed Democrats in 2026, according to 연합뉴스.

Rath said a successful Republican Party needs its moderate members, yet for six to eight years it told them publicly they were not wanted. "Now the party is paying the price," he said, as quoted in the report.

Candidate picks and missteps

Analysts attributed Senate losses in Texas and South Carolina squarely to Trump's choice of candidates. Arizona Republican strategist Barrett Mason said that, frankly, only one person deserved the blame, according to 연합뉴스.

The president also stumbled on message. He framed cost-of-living concerns as a Democratic hoax and kept repeating the claim despite efforts by advisers to walk it back, an anonymous political aide told the outlet. His final public campaign stop, staged at the Reflecting Pool in Washington, D.C., struck commentators as baffling; his speeches dwelt on buildings including the White House ballroom, which voters saw as a waste of money and time. The New York Times compared the setting to Richard Nixon delivering his last pre-election speech at the Watergate complex — a sign of how out of step his instincts had become.

What to watch

The central question now is whether the MAGA-centered coalition begins to unwind. Some in the party already say Trumpism is finished, 연합뉴스 reported, while others argue the movement remains potent and that a return to the party of George W. Bush is impossible. Former Michigan Governor James Blanchard put it plainly: "Unfortunately, we can never go back."

#us midterms#donald trump#maga#republican party#democratic landslide

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