The judge who convicted former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro may now influence whether current president Lula da Silva holds onto office, according to Dagens Nyheter. In a piece published Wednesday and attributed to journalist Henrik Brandão Jönsson, the Swedish newspaper frames that judge as a figure who could cost Lula the presidency.
The same reporting roundup points to a wider political shift in Brazil. Sveriges Radio reports that Flávio Bolsonaro could win the country's election, while 8 Sidor describes the situation simply as another election in Brazil. Together, the headlines suggest a contest in which the Bolsonaro family remains a live force despite the conviction of its most prominent member.
Financial markets have reacted to the result. Placera.se reports that the Brazilian stock exchange rose after the vote, and EFN notes that a growth favourite surged following what it calls an election surprise. Those market moves are reported by the two outlets and are not explained in further detail in the material available.
What connects the political and market threads is the judiciary. Dagens Nyheter's framing places the convicting judge at the centre of the story, raising the question of how that role plays into Lula's prospects. The outlet does not, in the summary available, spell out the mechanism by which the judge could affect the president's position.
The next thing to watch is how the Brazilian election result and the Bolsonaro conviction interact as the country's political and financial picture develops.
