Brazil's 2026 presidential runoff has tightened to a single point, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 45% and Lula at 44% in a long-awaited survey, according to Clarin.com. The figures emerged as campaigning for the second round drew to a close, a moment La Nación is covering in a live blog that tracks polling and daily developments.
The same survey was highlighted by La Nación in its roundup of the latest numbers on who is leading the second round. Infobae reported that the near-parity between the two candidates puts Brazil's relationship with Argentine President Javier Milei at stake.
Separately, Página|12 reported that Lula authorized the opening of his banking records and challenged Bolsonaro to do the same. That disclosure added a personal-finance dimension to the final stretch of the race.
Taken together, the reporting points to a contest close enough that small shifts could matter. The polling gap of one point falls within the kind of margin that makes individual surveys an imperfect guide to the outcome, and the outlets frame the race as effectively even.
What to watch next: the official second-round result and whether the final published surveys hold up against it.
